Page 365 - SAHCS HIVMed Journal Vol 20 No 1 2019
P. 365

Page 4 of 12  Original Research




                   Pregnancies/Deliveries                                         Birth Outcomes

                   14 587 deliveries at PMMH
                     during study period
                                        4170 deliveries not captured (weekend, public holiday and a er-hours
                                        discharge; inaccessible records, including maternal deaths)
                    10 417 (71.4%) deliveries                                10 517 birth outcomes including 98
                        captured                                              pairs of twins and 1 set of triplets




                                                                     6330 (60.2%) HIV  4063 (38.6%) HIV-  124 (1.2%) Birth
                                                                     unexposed birth  exposed birth   outcomes with
                                                                       outcomes       outcomes     unknown HIV exposure



                                                                     3932 (96.8%) exposed to  131 (3.2%) not exposed
                                                                      ART during pregnancy  to ART during pregnancy

                                                                                           exclude 85 twin births and,
                                                                                           219 intrapartum regimen switches
                                                                     3632 (89.4%) ART-exposed  (2 twin deliveries also
                                                                     birth outcomes included in  had regimen switches)
                                                                         risk analyses




                                           380 (10.4%) definite  653 (18.0%) ambiguous  1494 (41.1%) post-T1  1105 (30.4%) unknown
                                          and en re T1 exposure  /par al T1 exposure  exposure       ming of exposure

              FIGURE 1: Birth outcomes by HIV/ART exposure status among pregnant women in the cohort.

              pregnancy-stage-specific analyses, and the routinely collected   Statistical analyses
              data on LMP, gestational age at birth and the timing of   Data were analysed with STATA 12 (StataCorp LP, College
              treatment initiation were often missing or poorly captured   Station, TX, USA). For Analysis B, covariates included (in a
              and could lead to misclassification of exposure timing.   multivariable binomial regression) included maternal age
              Hence, we prefer a conservative approach of only classifying   category (< 18, 18–35 or > 35 years), parity (0 = nulliparous;
              birth outcomes as exposed if  ART was initiated at least 2   1 = parous) and educational completion (none or primary vs.
              weeks before LMP. However, as a significant number of ART   secondary or higher). Multivariable risk factor analysis was
              initiations appear to be during the first trimester, we also   deemed inappropriate for  Analysis  A given the limited
              considered a broader exposure category in which  ART   number of CMs detected.  A  p-value  of < 0.05, conducted
              initiations  within  15 weeks post  LMP are  included. These   using a 2-sided  t-test, was deemed to indicate statistical
              exposed groups were compared to an unexposed group    significance.
              defined as all HIV-unexposed births as well those exposed to
              HIV and ART beginning more than 15 weeks after LMP (see
              Table 3).                                             Ethical considerations
                                                                    Approval for this surveillance system was obtained from the
              Risk analysis B – Composite of other adverse birth    South African Medical Research Council’s ethics committee
              outcomes
                                                                    (protocol EC015-7/2013 approved on 30 July 2013). As the
              In the risk analysis for the composite endpoint of  ABOs,   PER/BDS system is mooted to become a national sentinel
              known singleton birth outcomes among HIV-uninfected   surveillance system, consent for routine data gathering was
              women were used as the comparator group. Studies about   not required, but the digital photography of infants with
              the effect of ART initiation in relation to the pregnancy have   CMs, as well as stillbirths, which is not routine, required
              elicited conflicting findings on birth outcomes. 5,6,7,17,32    explicit consent.
              Therefore, exposure groups assessed included any ART, EFV-
              based and NVP-based regimens initiated a) at any time   Results
              before birth; b) before pregnancy (defined conservatively as 2
              weeks before LMP); and c) after onset of pregnancy (defined   Over 12 months (07 October 2013 to 06 October 2014), 10 417
              as LMP plus 2 weeks). A 2-week exclusion window period   (71.4%) of a total of 14 587 deliveries at PMMH were captured
              around LMP was used to reduce the likelihood of       representing 10 517 birth outcomes, including 98 twin births
              misclassification in this analysis.                   and 1 triplet birth.

                                           http://www.sajhivmed.org.za 358  Open Access
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