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Page 2 of 4  Scientific Letter


              management for patients with low CD4 counts to mitigate   more than 3 months after ART where the CD4 count was not
              higher morbidity and mortality risks.                 a duplicate of the baseline count. The proportion of patients
                                                                    with post-baseline CD4 counts  ≤ 200 and  ≤ 350 cells/mm
                                                                                                                   3
              The South  African  ART programme is routinely  managed   was calculated and compared between different  ART
              using an electronic database known as Three Interlinked   durations using a chi-squared test.
              Electronic Registers.Net (TIER.Net). This study analysed
              routine programmatic TIER.Net data to assess implementation   Immunological non-responders were defined as patients
              of post-ART CD4 testing and occurrence of poor CD4    who had been on  ART for more than 4 years and were
              recovery in order to highlight areas for intervention to   virally suppressed (VL < 1000 copies/mL) with a CD4 count
              improve CD4  monitoring  and  subsequent  patient     ≤  350 cell/mm   based on CD4  testing  performed  1 year
                                                                                3
              management. Specifically, this study aimed to: (1) calculate   before to 2 years after the VL test. Time on  ART for all
              the proportion of patients on ART with CD4 tests subsequent   patients, including those receiving second- or third-line
              to ART initiation, (2) describe the proportion of patients with   ART regimens, was calculated as overall time on treatment.
                                                       3
              subsequent CD4 counts ≤ 200 and ≤ 350 cells/mm  by ART   Mixed effects logistic regression was used to assess
              duration and (3) assess the proportion of INRs and describe   characteristics of INRs, adjusting for random effects at the
              their characteristics.                                district level. Fixed effects covariates included ART regimen
                                                                    (first-line, second-line or third-line), age at  ART start,
              Methods                                               gender, baseline CD4 and tuberculosis (TB) status. p < 0.05
              Data source and study population                      was considered significant.
              Three Interlinked Electronic Registers.Net data were   Ethical consideration
              extracted in March 2020 for Johannesburg and Sedibeng
              districts in Gauteng province and Capricorn and Mopani   The study was approved by the Human Sciences Research
              districts in Limpopo province. These districts were chosen   Council Research Ethics Committee (REC 3/22/08/18).
              as a convenience sample, as Anova Health Institute is the   Individual patient consent was not required, as no data were
              designated United States  Agency for International    collected for the purposes of this study. Anonymised TIER.
              Development support partner in these districts. Urban   Net data that were routinely collected at healthcare facilities
              Johannesburg district is very densely populated, with 3162.1   for monitoring purposes were used.
              persons/km , compared with 236.0, 61.7 and 61.2 persons/
                        2
              km  in Sedibeng, Capricorn and Mopani, respectively.    Results
                                                             9
                2
              Medical scheme coverage is highest in Johannesburg    Implementation of CD4 testing
              (22.2%), followed by Sedibeng (20.8%), Capricorn (8.3%)
              and Mopani (6.8%).  Antenatal HIV prevalence, an indicator   Baseline CD4 count was recorded for 80.9% of the 869 571
                             9
              of overall population prevalence, was 34.1% in Sedibeng,   patients newly initiating ART. Amongst all 1 178 190 adults
                                                                    on ART, only 46.5% had a CD4 count recorded subsequent to
              30.9% in Johannesburg, 26.6% in Mopani and 22.5% in   baseline. Amongst patients who had been on ART for 12–18
              Capricorn in 2017. 10
                                                                    months (n = 56 181), only 21.9% had a post-baseline CD4 test
                                                                    on record.
              Records from TIER.Net were included in the analysis for
              adult PLHIV aged 15–80 years who had initiated ART from
              2004 onwards and had been on ART for a minimum of 12   Low CD4 counts
              months (n = 1 224 366). Records were excluded where there   Amongst all patients with a baseline CD4 (n = 703 869), 50.3%
              were data quality concerns regarding CD4 testing, namely   had counts ≤ 200 cells/mm  and amongst those starting ART
                                                                                         3
              counts ≤ 0 or ≥ 2000 cells/mm  and nonsensical testing dates   since 2017, 37.2% had a baseline count ≤ 200 cells/mm . CD4
                                      3
                                                                                                               3
              (n = 722). Records with nonsensical VL testing dates were   count decreased after baseline in 11.0% of the 443 443 patients
              also excluded (n = 9), as were records from facilities which   with both a baseline and subsequent CD4.  Amongst all
              had not exclusively used TIER.Net as their ART management   patients with a CD4 test performed after ART start, 14.3%
                                                                                                      3
              tool, resulting in incomplete TIER.Net data (n = 45 445). The   (n = 78 494) had a CD4 count ≤ 200 cells/mm . This proportion
              final data set comprised 1  178  190 records – 673  606 from   was highest amongst patients on  ART  ≤ 2 years (19.7%)
              Johannesburg, 160 607 from Sedibeng, 162 020 from Capricorn   compared with longer treatment durations (14.8%, 14.2% and
              and 181 957 from Mopani.                              13.8% amongst patients on  ART 2–4, 4–6 and > 6 years,
                                                                    respectively, p < 0.001).
              Statistical analysis                                  Just over one-third of patients with a post-baseline CD4 test

              The proportion of patients with a baseline CD4 test and CD4   had a CD4 count ≤ 350 cells/mm  (35.5%, n = 194 140). This
                                                                                              3
              test subsequent to baseline was calculated, the former was   proportion was highest amongst patients on ART ≤ 2 years
              for patients newly initiating ART and the latter was for all   (43.9%) compared with longer durations (36.1%, 35.2% and
              patients in the cohort (both new initiators and re-initiators).   34.7% amongst those on  ART 2–4, 4–6, and > 6 years,
              Post-baseline CD4 tests were defined as CD4 tests performed   respectively, p < 0.001).

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